{"id":63276,"date":"2024-11-09T21:07:14","date_gmt":"2024-11-10T05:07:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/eltecolote.org\/content\/?p=63276"},"modified":"2024-11-12T14:34:31","modified_gmt":"2024-11-12T22:34:31","slug":"trump-california-2024-election","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/eltecolote.org\/content\/en\/trump-california-2024-election\/","title":{"rendered":"Return of the Resistance State: What another Trump presidency will mean for California"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Former President Donald Trump won a second term after four years out of the White House, likely thrusting California back into leading the resistance against him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Associated Press made its call<\/a> at 3 a.m., declaring that the Republican defeated Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris, who would have become the first woman president and the most powerful Californian in four decades.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lea esta historia en espa\u00f1ol.<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Instead, Californians now face a repeat of Trump\u2019s first term from 2017 to 2021 \u2014 another four years of governance consumed by combative showdowns between the state\u2019s Democratic leadership and Washington, D.C., possibly distracting from or even setting back progress on addressing California\u2019s own problems.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Though many were rooting for a Harris victory \u2014 which could have taken California\u2019s priorities nationwide and brought additional resources home \u2014 state officials, industry leaders and activists prepared for this outcome. Trump, after all, routinely made California a punching bag<\/a> in his campaign.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Across state government, officials have been gaming out a response to \u201cTrump-proof\u201d California. Gov. Gavin Newsom and his budget team are developing a proposal for a disaster relief fund<\/a> after the former president repeatedly threatened to withhold emergency aid<\/a> for wildfire recovery from California because of its water policy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThe best way to protect California, its values, the rights of our people, is to be prepared, so we won\u2019t be flat-footed,\u201d said Attorney General Rob Bonta, whose team has been working with advocacy organizations and attorneys general in other states on how they would answer another Trump administration. \u201cWe will fight as we did in the past if that scenario unfolds.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

During Trump\u2019s first term, California sued more than 100 times<\/a> over his rules and regulatory rollbacks. Bonta said his team has preemptively written briefs and tested arguments to challenge many of the policies they expect the former president to pursue over the next four years: passing a national abortion ban and restricting access to abortion medication<\/a>; revoking California\u2019s waiver to regulate its own automobile tailpipe emissions and overruling its commitment to transition to zero-emission vehicles<\/a>; ending protections for immigrants brought to the country illegally as children; undermining the state\u2019s extensive gun control laws<\/a>, including for assault weapons, 3D-printed firearms and ghost guns; implementing voter identification requirements; and attacking civil rights for transgender youth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cUnfortunately, it\u2019s a long list,\u201d Bonta told CalMatters days before the election. \u201c<\/strong>We are and have been for months developing strategies for all of those things.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

California takes on Trump<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

In many ways, California is more protected from swings in federal regulations than other states, because it has a robust regulatory framework of its own that often goes much further than the federal government.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lorena Gonzalez, president of the California Labor Federation, said unions see an ongoing challenge to the constitutionality<\/a> of the National Labor Relations Board as a much bigger threat than any actions Trump might take. California law is already stronger than federal law on minimum wage, overtime pay and wage theft protections.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cHe can\u2019t do anything through the Department of Labor that would undo that,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But with Democrats in control of every state office and holding supermajorities in both chambers of the Legislature, Trump\u2019s victory could completely upend policymaking in California.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

During his first term, legislators focused on counteracting his federal agenda \u2014 though not always successfully<\/a>. California\u2019s governors in that period, Newsom and Jerry Brown, took executive actions to limit the fallout of his rollback of environmental regulations, including launching a pollution-tracking satellite<\/a> and negotiating with auto companies to maintain higher mileage standards<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Newsom\u2019s office declined to discuss the stakes of the presidential election \u2014 although at a press conference last week, he said \u201cno state has more to lose or gain in this election\u201d than California. Nor did representatives make Senate President Pro Tem Mike McGuire<\/a> or Assembly Speaker Robert Rivas<\/a>, both Democrats who will shape the legislative agenda and state budget next year, available for interviews.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A return to open conflict is a worrisome prospect for the business community, which was often caught in the middle of federal and state rules during Trump\u2019s first term \u2014 such as with a 2017 law that restricted employer participation<\/a> in workplace immigration raids.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cHaving the state react, it sort of puts things in limbo,\u201d said Jennifer Barrera, president and CEO of the California Chamber of Commerce. \u201cWhen the two aren\u2019t aligned, it creates some problems for our members that operate on the national level.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

How far will California go?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

As Democrats look to protect California\u2019s liberal values, there is concern they will resist Trump\u2019s plans by going further in the opposite direction, in potentially counterproductive ways.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Federal regulations make only a marginal difference in the cost of housing in California, according to Dan Dunmoyer, president and CEO of the California Building Industry Association, but he fears the state\u2019s response could unintentionally undermine its efforts to boost construction. In 2019, as the Trump administration narrowed federal water protections<\/a>, California adopted even more expansive state regulations<\/a> that developers complained made it more complicated and costly to get building permits. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThe anti-Trump factor is real,\u201d Dumoyer said. \u201cI expect that if Trump says the sky is blue, they\u2019ll say it\u2019s black today.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Divided partisan control could also further gridlock Congress, setting up the nation\u2019s largest state as the battleground for major policy fights, especially in areas that are not of interest to Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Adam Kovacevich, founder and CEO of Chamber of Progress, a left-leaning tech industry association, said advocacy groups seeking more oversight of the industry have been very active in Washington, D.C., for the past four years and enjoyed a lot of success with the Biden administration. Under Trump, they will turn to California to lead the way on regulating artificial intelligence<\/a> and children on social media, as well as enforcing antitrust law.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cCongress is an environment of legislative scarcity,\u201d he said. \u201cCalifornia is an environment of legislative abundance.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump is also viewed by the tech industry as a wild card who might punish major companies<\/a> that he believes opposed him, Kovacevich said. Such a contentious relationship could hurt their profits \u2014 and then California\u2019s tax revenue<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cIt\u2019s tech industry success that plays a huge role in funding the state\u2019s social safety net,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Thauany Danielle, a 19-year-old asylum seeking migrant from Brazil, grabs water and socks donated by the American Friends Service Committee as the migrants were awaiting between two border walls to surrender to immigration officials after crossing into the U.S. from Mexico, in San Diego, California, U.S., May 14, 2024. REUTERS\/Adrees Latif<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Immigrant community on the defensive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

With Trump\u2019s campaign heavily emphasizing tougher enforcement of the U.S.-Mexico border and mass deportations<\/a>, California\u2019s large immigrant community \u2014 millions of whom are undocumented \u2014 has been plunged into an especially uncertain and terrifying moment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Newsom put it last week, \u201cthe impacts from valley to valley, Silicon Valley to Central Valley, will be outsized\u201d \u2014 particularly if Trump also revives his push to limit legal immigration<\/a>, including by refugees, foreign workers and international students.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The California Immigrant Policy Center, an immigrant rights advocacy group, has already led 15 scenario-planning exercises with hundreds of people from organizations across the state to prepare. <\/s>\u201cWe know that the Trump administration is going to target California. They\u2019ve been targeting California throughout this election cycle,\u201d Masih Fouladi, executive director of the group, said. \u201cWe need to do a lot in California to make sure that we are defending, protecting our communities.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under Trump, Fouladi said, immigrant rights groups would lobby to make sure state and local resources are not used to detain and deport people and that non-citizen residents continue to have access to health care<\/a> and other public services, which the state has significantly expanded over the past decade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

One likely priority is strengthening the California Values Act, the 2017 \u201csanctuary state\u201d law that limited police cooperation with federal immigration authorities<\/a>. After a contentious legislative battle, the version that passed was scaled back from what supporters originally envisioned, exempting people convicted of hundreds of more serious crimes from the protections and allowing state prison officials to continue handing over individuals facing deportation orders.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cWhat we hope for is to address the rights of the immigrant community in a humane way,\u201d Fouladi said.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Expect four more years of combative showdowns between California\u2019s Democratic leadership and a second Trump White House.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":88922,"featured_media":63280,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_featured_image_position":"large","newspack_post_subtitle":"Expect four more years of combative showdowns between California\u2019s Democratic leadership and a second Trump White House.","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3576,7],"tags":[],"coauthors":[25172,25322],"class_list":["post-63276","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-immigration-news","category-news","entry"],"yoast_head":"\nWhat another Trump presidency will mean for 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