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<\/a><\/p>\n[su_label]Housing Rights Column[\/su_label]<\/p>\n
During election time we know that moneyed interests will bombard us with spin and half-truths, but this year the \u201cNo on I\u201d forces have really outdone themselves. Fearful that they will lose millions in profits if Proposition I\u2014the proposed 18-month moratorium on luxury housing in the Mission District\u2014passes, the \u201cNo on I\u201d forces have already sent a barrage of unwelcome emails, mailers, Facebook posts, and tweets, all misrepresenting what Proposition I will do.<\/p>\n
By now, most of us have heard the \u201cbillion dollar lie,\u201d that Proposition I will cost the city $1 billion. Opponents of Proposition I repeat this claim even though the city controller has determined its cost to be only \u201cup to $1 million\u201d\u2014that\u2019s 1,000 times less than the \u201cNo on I\u201d forces claim. With their big money, the realtors and developers will continue their distortions hoping you won\u2019t read the controller\u2019s statement in your Voter Handbook.<\/p>\n
More recently, the \u201cNo on I\u201d forces have pointed to a study commissioned by supervisors Scott Wiener and Mark Farrell\u2014both foes of Proposition I\u2014claiming that the report says Proposition I will increase rents and cause displacement. I\u2019ve read the report several times now. It says that rents for vacant units will increase by only .3 percent (that\u2019s three-tenths of one percent) during the 18-month pause in luxury development. In light of the fact that rents over the past 18 years have increased at a rate of 9.2 percent, a year, a .3 percent increase is infinitesimal. As to displacement, the report said that there was \u201cno evidence\u201d that Proposition I would cause displacement, contradicting its opponents.<\/p>\n
It\u2019s interesting that the report was written by Ted Egan, the city\u2019s economist and a chief backer of the city\u2019s \u201csupply-side\u201d strategy. This \u201cstrategy\u201d lets developers build \u201cmarket-rate\u201d housing (affordable only to the top 15 percent wage earners) claiming that the benefits will \u201ctrickle down\u201d to the remaining 85 percent of us. But Mr. Egan has also stated that we will have to build 100,000 market-rate units before the city will be affordable.<\/p>\n
According to the Planning Department 2014 third quarter Residential Pipeline report, San Francisco has built 30,000 units since 2007, 25,000 of which are market-rate, yet rents continue to climb sharply. So why hasn\u2019t the \u201ctrickle down\u201d trickled down?<\/p>\n
Mr. Egan says that it makes common sense that luxury housing causes gentrification and displacement, but claims that there is no \u201cstatistical correlation\u201d between the two and therefore no connection. Really? Putting $2.5 million condos at 20th and Valencia streets doesn\u2019t cause gentrification, displacement or increased rents?<\/p>\n
Mark Twain once said, \u201cThere are lies, damned lies, and statistics.\u201d Now, I\u2019m no economist, but I can see right through Mr. Egan\u2019s statistics. He measures displacement only by the limited number of \u201cno fault\u201d evictions (i.e. Ellis Act, or owner move-in) reported to the Rent Board, which are a small fraction of all evictions. Real world displacement includes evictions ranging from non-payment of rent, \u201clow fault\u201d evictions, buyouts, harassment and constructive evictions. Our chief economist\u2019s use of incomplete data shows the failure in his conclusion and the bias in his report.<\/p>\n
Big money has already given us a heavy dose of lies, damned lies and statistics. The anti-Proposition I forces are hoping that if they say something loudly and often enough people will believe them. Let\u2019s make sure voters learn the real facts about Proposition I.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
During election time we know that moneyed interests will bombard us with spin and half-truths, but this year the \u201cNo on I\u201d forces have really outdone themselves.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":35,"featured_media":27973,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[4213,3630],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-27963","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-voices","tag-gentrification-en","tag-proposition-i","entry"],"yoast_head":"\n
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<\/a><\/p>\n